Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Cortney Casey won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 13, 2017·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupJessica Aguilar: Pressure fightervsCortney Casey: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jessica Aguilar wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Cortney Casey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cortney Casey has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jessica Aguilar
Red Corner
VS
Cortney Casey
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
44
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'7"
160.02 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AguilarL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Claudia Gadelha · Aug 15W
vs Jodie Esquibel · Jul 18L
SUBvs Weili Zhang · Nov 18L
vs Marina Rodriguez · Mar 19Cortney Casey
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21W
vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AguilarMetricCortney Casey
4.93
Strikes / min
4.29
7.19
Strikes absorbed / min
4.00
53%
Strike defense
55%
0.94
TDs / 15 min
0.39
50%
Takedown defense
39%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.26Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica AguilarCortney Casey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Aguilar(5 fights)Cortney Casey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.51.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+476.0-476.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.92.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Jessica Aguilar
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights5
Cortney Casey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15