Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Aguilar won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 14, 2018·Boise, Idaho, USA, USA
Style matchupJessica Aguilar: Pressure fightervsJodie Esquibel: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jessica Aguilar wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Jessica Aguilar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Aguilar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jodie Esquibel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jodie Esquibel has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jessica Aguilar
Red Corner
VS
Jodie Esquibel
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
44
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'1"
160.02 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AguilarL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Claudia Gadelha · Aug 15L
vs Cortney Casey · May 17L
SUBvs Weili Zhang · Nov 18L
vs Marina Rodriguez · Mar 19Jodie EsquibelL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 17L
vs Angela Hill · Apr 19L
vs Hannah Cifers · Aug 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AguilarMetricJodie Esquibel
4.93
Strikes / min
4.10
7.19
Strikes absorbed / min
7.37
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.94
TDs / 15 min
0.75
50%
Takedown defense
83%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.26Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica AguilarJodie Esquibel
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Aguilar(5 fights)Jodie Esquibel(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.716.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+161.0-161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Jessica Aguilar
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights5
Jodie Esquibel
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights4