Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Andrade won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 25, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsCynthia Calvillo: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cynthia Calvillo threatens submissions; Jessica Andrade has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Cynthia Calvillo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Jessica Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Cynthia Calvillo
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
34
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'4"
157.48 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25Cynthia CalvilloL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jessica Eye · Jun 20L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 20L
KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21L
vs Nina Nunes · Aug 22L
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AndradeMetricCynthia Calvillo
6.37
Strikes / min
4.41
5.58
Strikes absorbed / min
4.12
54%
Strike defense
64%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
1.80
75%
Takedown defense
77%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica AndradeCynthia Calvillo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.9-14.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jessica Andrade
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30
Cynthia Calvillo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12