Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marion Reneau won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Sunday, February 22, 2015·Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Marion Reneau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau threatens submissions; Jessica Andrade has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Jessica Andrade has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Marion Reneau has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jessica Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Marion Reneau
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+248
(29%)
34
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'6"
157.48 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25Marion ReneauL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Cat Zingano · Jul 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AndradeMetricMarion Reneau
6.37
Strikes / min
3.20
5.58
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
54%
Strike defense
59%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
0.62
75%
Takedown defense
50%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.79Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica AndradeMarion Reneau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Marion Reneau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.1-16.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.4-3.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jessica Andrade
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30
Marion Reneau
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12