Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Natalia Silva won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsNatalia Silva: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Natalia Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Natalia Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Natalia Silva has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Natalia Silva has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Natalia Silva (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jessica Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Natalia Silva
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'1"
Height
5'4"
157.48 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AndradeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Aug 23W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25Natalia SilvaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Victoria Leonardo · May 23W
vs Andrea Lee · Aug 23W
vs Viviane Araujo · Feb 24W
vs Alexa Grasso · May 25W
vs Rose Namajunas · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AndradeMetricNatalia Silva
6.37
Strikes / min
4.81
5.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.36
54%
Strike defense
66%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
0.43
75%
Takedown defense
90%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.79Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap+2.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica AndradeNatalia Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Natalia Silva(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.3-19.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jessica Andrade
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30
Natalia Silva
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8