Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tatiana Suarez won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 5, 2023·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsTatiana Suarez: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Tatiana Suarez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tatiana Suarez threatens submissions; Jessica Andrade has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Jessica Andrade has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jessica Andrade has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tatiana Suarez (53.5%).
- Tatiana Suarez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jessica Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Tatiana Suarez
Blue Corner
+295
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-375
(79%)
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'1"
Height
5'5"
157.48 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25Tatiana Suarez
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Carla Esparza · Sep 18W
vs Nina Ansaroff · Jun 19W
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 23L
vs Zhang Weili · Feb 25W
vs Amanda Lemos · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AndradeMetricTatiana Suarez
6.37
Strikes / min
2.86
5.58
Strikes absorbed / min
1.63
54%
Strike defense
44%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
4.52
75%
Takedown defense
57%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.79evenly matched on net striking+1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica AndradeTatiana Suarez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Tatiana Suarez(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.312.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Jessica Andrade
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30
Tatiana Suarez
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9