Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Elise Reed won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jessica Penne wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Elise Reed wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Elise Reed has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jessica Penne has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jessica Penne
Red Corner
VS
Elise Reed
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
43
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'3"
170.18 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica PenneL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Danielle Taylor · Apr 17W
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 21W
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Aug 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tabatha Ricci · Mar 23Elise ReedL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Melissa Martinez · Sep 22L
SUBvs Loma Lookboonmee · Feb 23W
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jun 23L
SUBvs Loopy Godinez · Sep 23L
KOvs Denise Gomes · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica PenneMetricElise Reed
2.63
Strikes / min
3.41
5.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
45%
Strike defense
51%
1.29
TDs / 15 min
0.46
36%
Takedown defense
53%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.42Δ 2.57 — meaningful gap+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica PenneElise Reed
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Penne(9 fights)Elise Reed(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.413.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+196.0-196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jessica Penne
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9
Elise Reed
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights9