Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Emily Ducote won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 16, 2022·Elmont, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jessica Penne wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Emily Ducote wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Emily Ducote has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Emily Ducote has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jessica Penne has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jessica Penne
Red Corner
VS
Emily Ducote
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
43
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'2"
170.18 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica PenneL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Danielle Taylor · Apr 17W
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 21W
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Aug 21L
SUBvs Tabatha Ricci · Mar 23L
vs Elise Reed · Oct 24Emily Ducote
oldest →latest
L
vs Angela Hill · Dec 22L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 23W
vs Ashley Yoder · Oct 23L
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica PenneMetricEmily Ducote
2.63
Strikes / min
7.45
5.05
Strikes absorbed / min
7.84
45%
Strike defense
57%
1.29
TDs / 15 min
0.20
36%
Takedown defense
94%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.42Δ 2.03 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica PenneEmily Ducote
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Penne(9 fights)Emily Ducote(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.0-4.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Jessica Penne
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9
Emily Ducote
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights5