Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valerie Letourneau enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Valerie Letourneau has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica Rakoczy
oldest →L
KOvs Julianna Pena · Nov 13 Valerie LetourneauL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Elizabeth Phillips · Jun 14W
vs Maryna Moroz · Aug 15L
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Nov 15L
KOvs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 16L
vs Viviane Pereira · Dec 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica RakoczyMetricValerie Letourneau
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.05evenly matched on net striking-0.89
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jessica RakoczyValerie Letourneau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Rakoczy(2 fights)Valerie Letourneau(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.1|Blue +4.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +196.0|Blue -196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jessica RakoczyTargetValerie Letourneau
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Valerie Letourneau rounds
Round 1Jessica Rakoczy edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control3:27
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 2Valerie Letourneau edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:35
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jessica Rakoczy edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control1:17
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
