Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jessica-Rose Clark won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, September 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jessica-Rose Clark wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Jessica-Rose Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jessica-Rose Clark has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jessica-Rose Clark has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sarah Alpar (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jessica-Rose Clark
Red Corner
VS
Sarah Alpar
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'4"
162.56 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica-Rose ClarkL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Nov 19W
vs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 21L
SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Feb 22L
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 23Sarah Alpar
oldest →latest
L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Sep 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica-Rose ClarkMetricSarah Alpar
3.73
Strikes / min
2.36
3.51
Strikes absorbed / min
6.06
58%
Strike defense
38%
1.66
TDs / 15 min
1.61
62%
Takedown defense
20%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.22Δ 3.92 — meaningful gap-3.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica-Rose ClarkSarah Alpar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica-Rose Clark(9 fights)Sarah Alpar(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.35.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.147.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Jessica-Rose Clark
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights9
Sarah Alpar
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights2