Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Tainara Lisboa won · SUB R3
JC
TL
Jessica-Rose ClarkvsTainara Lisboa
UFC Event · Saturday, May 13, 2023Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jessica-Rose Clark wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Tainara Lisboa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tainara Lisboa threatens submissions; Jessica-Rose Clark has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Jessica-Rose Clark has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Jessica-Rose Clark
Red Corner
VS
Tainara Lisboa
Blue Corner
-102
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-116
(54%)
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica-Rose ClarkL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Nov 19W
KOvs Sarah Alpar · Sep 20W
vs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 21L
SUBvs Stephanie Egger · Feb 22L
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 22Tainara LisboaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ravena Oliveira · Oct 23L
SUBvs Luana Santos · May 25L
KOvs Melissa Croden · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica-Rose ClarkMetricTainara Lisboa
3.73
Strikes / min
2.01
3.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.88
58%
Strike defense
45%
1.66
TDs / 15 min
1.67
62%
Takedown defense
53%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.22Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jessica-Rose ClarkTainara Lisboa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica-Rose Clark(9 fights)Tainara Lisboa(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.29.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Jessica-Rose Clark
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights9
Tainara Lisboa
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4