Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jhonata Diniz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJhonata Diniz: StrikervsAlvin Hines: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Jhonata Diniz wins(69.3%)
Actual result: Jhonata Diniz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jhonata Diniz has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jhonata Diniz has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jhonata Diniz has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jhonata Diniz
Red Corner
VS
Alvin Hines
Blue Corner
-460
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jhonata DinizL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Austen Lane · Apr 24W
vs Karl Williams · Aug 24L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Nov 24L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Oct 25Alvin HinesNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jhonata DinizMetricAlvin Hines
3.89
Strikes / min
5.47
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
7.47
56%
Strike defense
38%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.00
70%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27Δ 2.27 — meaningful gap-2.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jhonata DinizAlvin Hines
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jhonata Diniz(5 fights)Alvin Hines(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.9-14.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Jhonata Diniz
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5
Alvin Hines
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights1