Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mario Pinto won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 11, 2025·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupJhonata Diniz: StrikervsMario Pinto: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Mario Pinto wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Mario Pinto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mario Pinto is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Jhonata Diniz has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Mario Pinto has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Jhonata Diniz
Red Corner
VS
Mario Pinto
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+102
(50%)
34
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'5"
200.66 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jhonata Diniz
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Austen Lane · Apr 24W
vs Karl Williams · Aug 24L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Nov 24W
vs Alvin Hines · Jun 25Mario PintoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Austen Lane · Mar 25W
vs Felipe Franco · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jhonata DinizMetricMario Pinto
3.89
Strikes / min
2.85
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
1.93
56%
Strike defense
58%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.38
70%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jhonata DinizMario Pinto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jhonata Diniz(5 fights)Mario Pinto(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.8-14.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Jhonata Diniz
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5
Mario Pinto
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights3