Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jason Knight won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2016·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Alers: WrestlervsJason Knight: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Jim Alers wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Jason Knight wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Knight enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jim Alers has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jim Alers
Red Corner
VS
Jason Knight
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
39
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Alers
oldest →latest
W
vs Alan Omer · Apr 14L
KOvs Chas Skelly · Feb 15Jason KnightL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chas Skelly · May 17L
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Jul 17L
vs Gabriel Benitez · Dec 17L
vs Makwan Amirkhani · May 18L
vs Jordan Rinaldi · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim AlersMetricJason Knight
2.90
Strikes / min
2.95
4.38
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
56%
Strike defense
51%
2.26
TDs / 15 min
1.31
80%
Takedown defense
47%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.48Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim AlersJason Knight
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Alers(3 fights)Jason Knight(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.1-15.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+300.0-300.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jim Alers
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3
Jason Knight
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9