Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Hernandez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 18, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsAlexander Hernandez: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(61.1%)
Actual result: Alexander Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Hernandez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Alexander Hernandez has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Hernandez
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
42
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Alexander HernandezW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricAlexander Hernandez
2.92
Strikes / min
4.23
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
56%
Strike defense
59%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
1.05
47%
Takedown defense
68%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerAlexander Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+48.6-48.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+161.0-161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Alexander Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17