Lightweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 15, 2018·Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsCharles Oliveira: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Charles Oliveira wins(59.6%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jim Miller threatens submissions; Charles Oliveira has lost 36% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Charles Oliveira
Blue Corner
+255
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-310
(76%)
42
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricCharles Oliveira
2.92
Strikes / min
3.23
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
56%
Strike defense
48%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
2.29
47%
Takedown defense
54%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
2.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-40.840.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36