Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 16, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsErick Gonzalez: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(62.0%)
Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jim Miller threatens submissions; Erick Gonzalez has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Jim Miller has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
- Erick Gonzalez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Erick Gonzalez
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
42
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Erick GonzalezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Aug 22L
KOvs Trevor Peek · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricErick Gonzalez
2.92
Strikes / min
2.40
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
8.08
56%
Strike defense
40%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
6.00
47%
Takedown defense
50%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 5.17 — meaningful gap-5.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerErick Gonzalez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Erick Gonzalez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.1-9.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Erick Gonzalez
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3