Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · Submission R1
Elo1504
Elo1499
Jim MillervsJared Gordon
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Jared Gordon wins(61.2%)
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Jared Gordon
—
Vegas Odds
—
1504
1499
42
37
Southpaw
Orthodox
5'8"
5'9"
180.34 cm
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Jim Miller
oldest →
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24
vs King Green · Apr 24
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25
latestJared Gordon
oldest →
vs Paddy Pimblett · Dec 22
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Jim MillerMetricJared Gordon
2.92
Strikes / min
5.57
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
56%
Strike defense
55%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
1.91
47%
Takedown defense
60%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerJared Gordon
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
EVEN
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights40
Jared Gordon
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17