Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2019·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jim Miller threatens submissions; Jason Gonzalez has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Jim Miller has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Jason Gonzalez
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
42
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Jason Gonzalez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Drew Dober · Sep 16W
SUBvs JC Cottrell · Jan 17L
SUBvs Gregor Gillespie · Sep 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricJason Gonzalez
2.92
Strikes / min
3.06
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
3.13
56%
Strike defense
58%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
0.00
47%
Takedown defense
30%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerJason Gonzalez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Jason Gonzalez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.8-26.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-455.0455.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Jason Gonzalez
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4