Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 3, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(68.1%)
Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jim Miller has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jim Miller has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Jesse Butler
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
42
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Feb 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Jesse Butler
oldest →latest
L
vs Brad Katona · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricJesse Butler
2.92
Strikes / min
2.02
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
4.62
56%
Strike defense
39%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
0.00
47%
Takedown defense
0%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-2.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerJesse Butler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Jesse Butler(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+42.9-42.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Jesse Butler
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2