Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 29, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsJoe Lauzon: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Joe Lauzon wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Joe Lauzon
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Joe Lauzon
oldest →latest
W
vs Marcin Held · Jan 17L
vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricJoe Lauzon
2.92
Strikes / min
2.84
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
5.39
56%
Strike defense
54%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
2.39
47%
Takedown defense
54%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
2.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap-2.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerJoe Lauzon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Joe Lauzon(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.0-10.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+91.0-91.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Joe Lauzon
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights20