Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Solecki won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, April 10, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsJoe Solecki: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Joe Solecki wins(66.9%)
Actual result: Joe Solecki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jim Miller has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Joe Solecki
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
42
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Joe SoleckiL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Da Silva · Jun 22W
SUBvs Carl Deaton · Feb 23L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 23L
vs Grant Dawson · Jun 24L
vs Nurullo Aliev · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricJoe Solecki
2.92
Strikes / min
1.97
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
1.85
56%
Strike defense
50%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
2.06
47%
Takedown defense
14%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerJoe Solecki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Joe Solecki(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.810.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Joe Solecki
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9