Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Jim Miller threatens submissions; Michael Chiesa has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Michael Chiesa has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Michael Chiesa has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25W
SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26 Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricMichael Chiesa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jim MillerMichael Chiesa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Michael Chiesa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -12.2|Blue +12.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jim MillerTargetMichael Chiesa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control2:27
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:54Control
Round 2Michael Chiesa edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
