Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Chiesa won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Thursday, December 10, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsMichael Chiesa: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(52.7%)
Actual result: Michael Chiesa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Jim Miller threatens submissions; Michael Chiesa has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Michael Chiesa has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Michael Chiesa has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Michael Chiesa
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
42
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricMichael Chiesa
2.92
Strikes / min
2.02
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
1.73
56%
Strike defense
57%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
3.11
47%
Takedown defense
65%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerMichael Chiesa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Michael Chiesa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.1-24.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22