Lightweight
3 Rounds
Scott Holtzman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 15, 2020·Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsScott Holtzman: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Scott Holtzman wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Scott Holtzman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Holtzman has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Scott Holtzman
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nik Lentz · Feb 19W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19L
vs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21L
vs Clay Guida · Dec 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricScott Holtzman
2.92
Strikes / min
4.32
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
3.66
56%
Strike defense
55%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
1.88
47%
Takedown defense
67%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerScott Holtzman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Scott Holtzman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.55.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Scott Holtzman
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13