Lightweight
3 Rounds
Vinc Pichel won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, August 15, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsVinc Pichel: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Vinc Pichel wins(64.8%)
Actual result: Vinc Pichel wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jim Miller has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Vinc Pichel
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-124
(55%)
42
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Vinc PichelL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Jun 19W
vs Austin Hubbard · Aug 21L
vs Mark Madsen · Apr 22L
vs Ismael Bonfim · May 24L
vs Rafa Garcia · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricVinc Pichel
2.92
Strikes / min
3.78
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
3.17
56%
Strike defense
54%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
2.50
47%
Takedown defense
31%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerVinc Pichel
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Vinc Pichel(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.312.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-357.0357.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Vinc Pichel
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12