Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 26, 2014·Baltimore, Maryland, USA, USA
Style matchupJim Miller: Submission grapplervsYancy Medeiros: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Jim Miller wins(73.5%)
Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yancy Medeiros has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
- Yancy Medeiros has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Jim Miller
Red Corner
VS
Yancy Medeiros
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
42
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Yancy MedeirosL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jim MillerMetricYancy Medeiros
2.92
Strikes / min
4.36
3.43
Strikes absorbed / min
5.67
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.49
TDs / 15 min
0.33
47%
Takedown defense
73%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jim MillerYancy Medeiros
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jim Miller(10 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+97.8-97.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-245.0245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39
Yancy Medeiros
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14