Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 8, 2018·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJimi Manuwa: Well-roundedvsThiago Santos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Thiago Santos wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jimi Manuwa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Jimi Manuwa has lost 83% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Jimi Manuwa
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Santos
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
46
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimi ManuwaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 16W
KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18L
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimi ManuwaMetricThiago Santos
3.43
Strikes / min
3.72
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
49%
Strike defense
53%
0.53
TDs / 15 min
0.88
70%
Takedown defense
65%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jimi ManuwaThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-63.363.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+189.0-189.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Jimi Manuwa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24