Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Aljamain Sterling won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 17, 2019·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupJimmie Rivera: Pressure fightervsAljamain Sterling: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jimmie Rivera wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jimmie Rivera has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jimmie Rivera
Red Corner
VS
Aljamain Sterling
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimmie Rivera
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 18W
vs John Dodson · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Jun 19W
vs Cody Stamann · Jul 20L
vs Pedro Munhoz · Feb 21Aljamain Sterling
oldest →latest
W
vs Henry Cejudo · May 23L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23W
vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24W
vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimmie RiveraMetricAljamain Sterling
4.03
Strikes / min
4.26
3.90
Strikes absorbed / min
2.15
60%
Strike defense
59%
0.88
TDs / 15 min
2.54
92%
Takedown defense
44%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.13Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap+2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jimmie RiveraAljamain Sterling
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Jimmie Rivera
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11
Aljamain Sterling
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights22