Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jimmy Crute won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 19, 2025·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupJimmy Crute: WrestlervsMarcin Prachnio: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jimmy Crute wins(65.2%)
Actual result: Jimmy Crute wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jimmy Crute threatens submissions; Marcin Prachnio has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Marcin Prachnio has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Jimmy Crute
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Prachnio
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
30
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimmy Crute
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Apr 21L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 21L
SUBvs Alonzo Menifield · Jul 23D
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Feb 25W
SUBvs Ivan Erslan · Sep 25Marcin Prachnio
oldest →latest
L
vs Philipe Lins · Apr 22W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23W
vs Devin Clark · Feb 24L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimmy CruteMetricMarcin Prachnio
4.15
Strikes / min
5.52
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.15
42%
Strike defense
54%
4.39
TDs / 15 min
0.14
58%
Takedown defense
53%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jimmy CruteMarcin Prachnio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimmy Crute(10 fights)Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.3-14.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-196.0196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
Jimmy Crute
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10
Marcin Prachnio
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11