Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jimmy Crute won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 9, 2019·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJimmy Crute: WrestlervsSam Alvey: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Jimmy Crute wins(64.5%)
Actual result: Jimmy Crute wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sam Alvey has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Jimmy Crute
Red Corner
VS
Sam Alvey
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
30
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimmy CruteW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 21L
SUBvs Alonzo Menifield · Jul 23D
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Feb 25W
SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 25W
SUBvs Ivan Erslan · Sep 25Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ryan Spann · May 20L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimmy CruteMetricSam Alvey
4.15
Strikes / min
3.28
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
42%
Strike defense
52%
4.39
TDs / 15 min
0.06
58%
Takedown defense
82%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Jimmy CruteSam Alvey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimmy Crute(10 fights)Sam Alvey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.637.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Jimmy Crute
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10
Sam Alvey
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23