Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Carlos Ulberg won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1503
Elo1574
Jiri ProchazkavsCarlos UlbergUFC Prediction Result
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA
Official fight result
Carlos Ulberg won
KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:45
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(58.2%)
Scouting Report
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Carlos Ulberg is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Jiri Prochazka has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Carlos Ulberg has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jiri Prochazka
Carlos Ulberg
—
Vegas Odds
—
1503
1574
33
35
Orthodox
Orthodox
6'3"
6'4"
203.2 cm
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Jiri Prochazka
oldest →
KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 23
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Apr 24
KOvs Alex Pereira · Jun 24
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Jan 25
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 25
latestCarlos Ulberg
oldest →
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Jiri ProchazkaMetricCarlos Ulberg
5.61
Strikes / min
6.57
5.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
45%
Strike defense
51%
0.49
TDs / 15 min
0.53
68%
Takedown defense
85%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Jiri ProchazkaCarlos Ulberg
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Jiri Prochazka
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8
Carlos Ulberg
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights10