Featherweight
3 Rounds
Joanderson Brito won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 15, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoanderson Brito: WrestlervsLucas Alexander: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Joanderson Brito wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Joanderson Brito wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joanderson Brito is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Lucas Alexander has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Lucas Alexander has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Joanderson Brito
Red Corner
VS
Lucas Alexander
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
31
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joanderson Brito
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Nov 23W
KOvs Jack Shore · May 24L
vs William Gomis · Sep 24L
vs Pat Sabatini · Apr 25W
vs Isaac Thomson · Dec 25Lucas AlexanderL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Steven Peterson · Mar 23L
KOvs Jeka Saragih · Nov 23L
KOvs Bogdan Grad · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joanderson BritoMetricLucas Alexander
2.43
Strikes / min
4.69
2.32
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
44%
Strike defense
56%
3.38
TDs / 15 min
0.00
47%
Takedown defense
60%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.11Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap+1.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joanderson BritoLucas Alexander
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joanderson Brito(9 fights)Lucas Alexander(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
Joanderson Brito
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9
Lucas Alexander
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4