Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 20, 2015·Berlin, Berlin, Germany, Germany
Model Prediction: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joanna Jedrzejczyk has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joanna Jedrzejczyk has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Red Corner
VS
Jessica Penne
Blue Corner
-900
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
38
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joanna JedrzejczykL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19L
vs Weili Zhang · Mar 20L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22Jessica PenneL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 21W
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Aug 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tabatha Ricci · Mar 23L
vs Elise Reed · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joanna JedrzejczykMetricJessica Penne
6.28
Strikes / min
2.63
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
5.05
62%
Strike defense
45%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
1.29
80%
Takedown defense
36%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.03Δ 5.45 — meaningful gap-2.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joanna JedrzejczykJessica Penne
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)Jessica Penne(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.3-31.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-92.092.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15
Jessica Penne
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9