Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, November 12, 2016·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJoanna Jedrzejczyk: StrikervsKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Red Corner
VS
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+325
(24%)
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joanna JedrzejczykL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19L
vs Weili Zhang · Mar 20L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joanna JedrzejczykMetricKarolina Kowalkiewicz
6.28
Strikes / min
5.54
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
5.77
62%
Strike defense
56%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
0.36
80%
Takedown defense
74%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.03Δ 3.26 — meaningful gap-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joanna JedrzejczykKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+42.0-42.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+22.0-22.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19