Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, October 12, 2019·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joanna Jedrzejczyk enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Red Corner
VS
Michelle Waterson
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joanna JedrzejczykL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rose Namajunas · Apr 18W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18L
vs Weili Zhang · Mar 20L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22Michelle Waterson
oldest →latest
W
vs Felice Herrig · Oct 18W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Mar 19L
vs Carla Esparza · May 20W
vs Angela Hill · Sep 20L
vs Marina Rodriguez · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joanna JedrzejczykMetricMichelle Waterson
6.28
Strikes / min
—
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
—
62%
Strike defense
—
0.27
TDs / 15 min
—
80%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joanna JedrzejczykMichelle Waterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)Michelle Waterson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.3-26.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.0-3.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15
Michelle Waterson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3