Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Rose Namajunas won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 4, 2017·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJoanna Jedrzejczyk: StrikervsRose Namajunas: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Joanna Jedrzejczyk wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Rose Namajunas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joanna Jedrzejczyk has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Red Corner
VS
Rose Namajunas
Blue Corner
-700
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+500
(17%)
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joanna JedrzejczykL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19L
vs Weili Zhang · Mar 20L
KOvs Zhang Weili · Jun 22Rose Namajunas
oldest →latest
W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joanna JedrzejczykMetricRose Namajunas
6.28
Strikes / min
3.50
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
62%
Strike defense
63%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
1.47
80%
Takedown defense
62%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.03Δ 2.91 — meaningful gap+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joanna JedrzejczykRose Namajunas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)Rose Namajunas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+81.8-81.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights15
Rose Namajunas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights19