Welterweight
3 Rounds
Joaquin Buckley won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 11, 2024·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Nursulton Ruziboev wins(55.2%)
Actual result: Joaquin Buckley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Joaquin Buckley has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joaquin Buckley has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquin Buckley (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Joaquin Buckley
Red Corner
VS
Nursulton Ruziboev
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'5"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joaquin Buckley
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Morono · Oct 23W
KOvs Vicente Luque · Mar 24W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24W
KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25Nursulton RuziboevW4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 23W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 24W
KOvs Eric McConico · Feb 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joaquin BuckleyMetricNursulton Ruziboev
3.62
Strikes / min
2.59
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
2.89
58%
Strike defense
48%
1.43
TDs / 15 min
0.75
70%
Takedown defense
33%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joaquin BuckleyNursulton Ruziboev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)Nursulton Ruziboev(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.6-40.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Joaquin Buckley
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights16
Nursulton Ruziboev
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5