Flyweight
3 Rounds
Geane Herrera won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Friday, December 11, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Joby Sanchez wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Geane Herrera wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Geane Herrera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joby Sanchez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Joby Sanchez
Red Corner
VS
Geane Herrera
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joby SanchezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Wilson Reis · Aug 14W
vs Tateki Matsuda · Jan 15L
vs Roberto Sanchez · Feb 18L
vs Mark De La Rosa · Nov 18Geane HerreraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ray Borg · Aug 15L
vs Ali Bagautinov · Jun 16L
vs Ben Nguyen · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joby SanchezMetricGeane Herrera
3.22
Strikes / min
1.51
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
5.07
63%
Strike defense
52%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
0.83
51%
Takedown defense
38%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40Δ 3.96 — meaningful gap-3.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joby SanchezGeane Herrera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joby Sanchez(5 fights)Geane Herrera(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+202.0-202.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Joby Sanchez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5
Geane Herrera
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights4