Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dan Miller won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 11, 2010·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJoe Doerksen: WrestlervsDan Miller: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Joe Doerksen wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Dan Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dan Miller threatens submissions; Joe Doerksen has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Doerksen
Red Corner
VS
Dan Miller
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-250
(71%)
48
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Doerksen
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Tom Lawlor · May 10L
SUBvs CB Dollaway · Sep 10Dan MillerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nate Marquardt · Mar 11L
vs Rousimar Palhares · Aug 11W
SUBvs Ricardo Funch · Jun 12L
KOvs Jordan Mein · Mar 13L
vs Trevor Smith · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe DoerksenMetricDan Miller
1.43
Strikes / min
2.03
2.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
50%
Strike defense
49%
2.02
TDs / 15 min
1.67
33%
Takedown defense
47%
2.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.36evenly matched on net striking-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe DoerksenDan Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Doerksen(3 fights)Dan Miller(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.92.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Joe Doerksen
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3
Dan Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8