Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Duffy won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 18, 2015·Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupJoe Duffy: Well-roundedvsIvan Jorge: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Ivan Jorge wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Joe Duffy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Duffy threatens submissions; Ivan Jorge has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Duffy
Red Corner
VS
Ivan Jorge
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+650
(13%)
38
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe DuffyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mitch Clarke · Jul 16W
vs Reza Madadi · Mar 17L
KOvs James Vick · Nov 17L
vs Marc Diakiese · Mar 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20Ivan Jorge
oldest →latest
W
vs Keith Wisniewski · Sep 13L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Feb 14W
vs Josh Shockley · Feb 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe DuffyMetricIvan Jorge
2.68
Strikes / min
3.41
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
54%
Strike defense
59%
0.96
TDs / 15 min
1.56
64%
Takedown defense
75%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe DuffyIvan Jorge
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Duffy(8 fights)Ivan Jorge(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-20.020.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-3.03.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Joe Duffy
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Ivan Jorge
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4