Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Duffy won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Thursday, July 7, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Joe Duffy wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Joe Duffy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Duffy
Red Corner
VS
Mitch Clarke
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
38
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe DuffyL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 16W
vs Reza Madadi · Mar 17L
KOvs James Vick · Nov 17L
vs Marc Diakiese · Mar 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20Mitch ClarkeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Anton Kuivanen · Jul 12W
vs John Maguire · Jun 13W
SUBvs Al Iaquinta · May 14L
vs Michael Chiesa · Apr 15L
KOvs Alex White · Sep 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe DuffyMetricMitch Clarke
2.68
Strikes / min
2.35
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.27
54%
Strike defense
47%
0.96
TDs / 15 min
0.64
64%
Takedown defense
50%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe DuffyMitch Clarke
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Duffy(8 fights)Mitch Clarke(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.1-32.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-273.0273.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Joe Duffy
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Mitch Clarke
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7