Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Duffy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 18, 2017·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupJoe Duffy: Well-roundedvsReza Madadi: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Reza Madadi wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Joe Duffy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Reza Madadi has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Reza Madadi has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Duffy
Red Corner
VS
Reza Madadi
Blue Corner
-550
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+425
(19%)
38
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe DuffyL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 16W
SUBvs Mitch Clarke · Jul 16L
KOvs James Vick · Nov 17L
vs Marc Diakiese · Mar 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20Reza Madadi
oldest →latest
L
vs Cristiano Marcello · Oct 12W
SUBvs Michael Johnson · Apr 13L
vs Norman Parke · Oct 15W
KOvs Yan Cabral · May 16L
vs Joaquim Silva · May 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe DuffyMetricReza Madadi
2.68
Strikes / min
2.51
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
54%
Strike defense
66%
0.96
TDs / 15 min
3.17
64%
Takedown defense
89%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10evenly matched on net striking-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe DuffyReza Madadi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Duffy(8 fights)Reza Madadi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.0-18.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-60.060.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Joe Duffy
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Reza Madadi
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7