Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Ellenberger won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2014·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Joe Ellenberger wins(59.8%)
Actual result: Joe Ellenberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Moontasri has 79pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors James Moontasri (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Joe Ellenberger
Red Corner
VS
James Moontasri
Blue Corner
-177
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+166
(38%)
41
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Ellenberger
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 14James MoontasriL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Cody Pfister · Feb 15L
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 15W
KOvs Anton Zafir · Nov 15L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 16L
vs Alex Morono · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe EllenbergerMetricJames Moontasri
1.62
Strikes / min
2.39
3.45
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
48%
Strike defense
40%
3.17
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
79%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.83evenly matched on net striking-1.47
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Ellenberger(2 fights)James Moontasri(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Joe Ellenberger
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2
James Moontasri
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6