Lightweight
3 Rounds
Clay Guida won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 11, 2017·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Lauzon: WrestlervsClay Guida: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Joe Lauzon wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Clay Guida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Lauzon threatens submissions; Clay Guida has lost 43% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Lauzon
Red Corner
VS
Clay Guida
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →latest
L
vs Jim Miller · Aug 16W
vs Marcin Held · Jan 17L
vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricClay Guida
2.84
Strikes / min
2.63
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
54%
Strike defense
61%
2.39
TDs / 15 min
3.10
54%
Takedown defense
66%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.55Δ 2.18 — meaningful gap-0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe LauzonClay Guida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Clay Guida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.115.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+64.0-64.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Joe Lauzon
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights20
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27