Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jim Miller won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 27, 2016·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupJoe Lauzon: WrestlervsJim Miller: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Joe Lauzon wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Jim Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Joe Lauzon
Red Corner
VS
Jim Miller
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
41
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →latest
W
vs Marcin Held · Jan 17L
vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricJim Miller
2.84
Strikes / min
2.92
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
54%
Strike defense
56%
2.39
TDs / 15 min
1.49
54%
Takedown defense
47%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.55Δ 2.04 — meaningful gap-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe LauzonJim Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Jim Miller(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.511.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Joe Lauzon
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights20
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39