Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Lauzon won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 15, 2017·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Lauzon: WrestlervsMarcin Held: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Joe Lauzon wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Joe Lauzon wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Lauzon has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Lauzon
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Held
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →latest
L
vs Jim Miller · Aug 16L
vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19Marcin Held
oldest →latest
L
vs Diego Sanchez · Nov 16L
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · May 17W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricMarcin Held
2.84
Strikes / min
1.41
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.02
54%
Strike defense
47%
2.39
TDs / 15 min
2.46
54%
Takedown defense
37%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.55Δ 1.94 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe LauzonMarcin Held
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Marcin Held(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.7-36.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Joe Lauzon
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights20
Marcin Held
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4