Lightweight
3 Rounds
Joe Lauzon won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Friday, September 5, 2014·Ledyard, Connecticut, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Lauzon: WrestlervsMichael Chiesa: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Joe Lauzon wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Joe Lauzon wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Joe Lauzon threatens submissions; Michael Chiesa has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Chiesa (53.5%).
- Michael Chiesa has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Lauzon
Red Corner
VS
Michael Chiesa
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →latest
W
vs Marcin Held · Jan 17L
vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19Michael ChiesaW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jul 23W
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Aug 24W
SUBvs Max Griffin · Dec 24W
vs Court McGee · Jun 25W
SUBvs Niko Price · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricMichael Chiesa
2.84
Strikes / min
2.02
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
1.73
54%
Strike defense
57%
2.39
TDs / 15 min
3.11
54%
Takedown defense
65%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.55Δ 2.84 — meaningful gap+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe LauzonMichael Chiesa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Michael Chiesa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.335.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+161.0-161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Joe Lauzon
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights20
Michael Chiesa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights22