Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michael Johnson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2013·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Lauzon: WrestlervsMichael Johnson: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Joe Lauzon wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Michael Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Lauzon threatens submissions; Michael Johnson has lost 31% of fights by sub.
- Michael Johnson has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michael Johnson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Joe Lauzon
Red Corner
VS
Michael Johnson
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →latest
W
vs Marcin Held · Jan 17L
vs Stevie Ray · Apr 17L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19Michael Johnson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 23W
vs Darrius Flowers · Feb 24W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Dec 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Jul 25L
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricMichael Johnson
2.84
Strikes / min
4.27
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
3.78
54%
Strike defense
58%
2.39
TDs / 15 min
0.57
54%
Takedown defense
81%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.55Δ 3.04 — meaningful gap+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe LauzonMichael Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Michael Johnson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.5-16.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Joe Lauzon
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights20
Michael Johnson
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights32