Lightweight
3 Rounds
Stevie Ray won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 22, 2017·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Lauzon: WrestlervsStevie Ray: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Stevie Ray wins(58.7%)
Actual result: Stevie Ray wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Joe Lauzon
Red Corner
VS
Stevie Ray
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
41
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Lauzon
oldest →latest
L
vs Jim Miller · Aug 16W
vs Marcin Held · Jan 17L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18W
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 19Stevie Ray
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricStevie Ray
2.84
Strikes / min
3.73
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
54%
Strike defense
54%
2.39
TDs / 15 min
0.75
54%
Takedown defense
55%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.55Δ 3.35 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe LauzonStevie Ray
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Stevie Ray(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.813.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-57.057.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Joe Lauzon
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights20
Stevie Ray
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11