Lightweight
3 Rounds
Magomed Mustafaev won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupJoe Proctor: Well-roundedvsMagomed Mustafaev: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Magomed Mustafaev wins(55.2%)
Actual result: Magomed Mustafaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Mustafaev is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Joe Proctor has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Joe Proctor has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joe Proctor has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Joe Proctor
Red Corner
VS
Magomed Mustafaev
Blue Corner
+300
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-360
(78%)
40
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe Proctor
oldest →latest
W
vs Cristiano Marcello · Feb 14W
KOvs Justin Salas · Jul 14L
SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Dec 14W
SUBvs Justin Edwards · Jun 15L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Apr 17Magomed Mustafaev
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Piotr Hallmann · Jun 15L
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Nov 16W
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Apr 19L
vs Brad Riddell · Feb 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe ProctorMetricMagomed Mustafaev
3.39
Strikes / min
2.59
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
2.68
59%
Strike defense
41%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.31
70%
Takedown defense
23%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Joe ProctorMagomed Mustafaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Proctor(8 fights)Magomed Mustafaev(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.4-12.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Joe Proctor
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8
Magomed Mustafaev
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5